“in 2033, that value is $9.07. To put that into perspective, current futures market prices for delivered LNG in Asia are in the $8 to $9 range. And so that would be on the high end of potentially competitive under current law”
On the bottom right, we have a breakeven price for delivered LNG into the market. And again, this would be what price would the LNG have to be in the global market, given our baseline assumptions, for the developer to earn that 10% rate of return. And in 2033, that value is $9.07. To put that into perspective, current futures market prices for delivered LNG in Asia are in the $8 to $9 range. And so that would be on the high end of potentially competitive under current law, which kind of— and under our baseline assumptions for the $46 billion capital cost.
The Alaska LNG project would struggle to compete in global markets even under the governor's proposed tax relief, with breakeven prices at the high end of current futures markets, according to state modeling presented to the House Finance Committee on Thursday.

The Alaska House Finance Committee heard Thursday that the governor's version of HB 381 would reduce municipal property tax revenue from the Alaska LNG project by over $13 billion compared to current law, while the House Resources version would actually increase municipal revenue by retaining property tax on the gas treatment plant and LNG facility.
