
Speaker A
38:48 - 39:26
"a Black Swan event is just something that is unplanned for as low probability, but high impact when it does occur. COVID 19 was a great example of a Black Swan event."
“a Black Swan event is just something that is unplanned for as low probability, but high impact when it does occur. COVID 19 was a great example of a Black Swan event.”
Initial estimate, again, a variety of factors that can influence the ultimate cost and delivery. Can you explain to the committee and the audience that's watching what a Black Swan event is? Yes, to the Chair, a Black Swan event is just something that is unplanned for as low probability, but high impact when it does occur. COVID 19 was a great example of a Black Swan event. It, you know, severely disrupted the flow of really the ability to get anything done.
Independent megaproject consultant warns Alaska Senate Finance that 92% of megaprojects exceed budget or schedule, with LNG projects averaging 70% cost overruns, directly challenging optimistic timelines for the state's proposed gas pipeline and export terminal.
