Aaron Jacobs
6:13 - 7:23
"we are kind of with the volume estimate, we're going to be very close to the same volume as last year, just due to the conditions of the lower end of the overflow channel to less icebergs in the basin, and then the lateral expansion of the basin. So we're going to see a very similar volume estimate that we're anticipating, maybe a little bit of an increase, but very similar to last year. And so we are also anticipating a flood if it releases at a full basin capacity, something very similar to last year, to maybe a little bit lower, but still a major flooding event."
“we are kind of with the volume estimate, we're going to be very close to the same volume as last year, just due to the conditions of the lower end of the overflow channel to less icebergs in the basin, and then the lateral expansion of the basin. So we're going to see a very similar volume estimate that we're anticipating, maybe a little bit of an increase, but very similar to last year. And so we are also anticipating a flood if it releases at a full basin capacity, something very similar to last year, to maybe a little bit lower, but still a major flooding event.”
- Speaker
- Aaron Jacobs
- Timestamp
- 6:13 – 7:23
- Community
- Alaska News
- Location
- Juneau
- Captured at
- July 9, 2026
From the transcript
As far as the forecast, we are very— the science team within the Weather Service and USGS and university, we are kind of with the volume estimate, we're going to be very close to the same volume as last year, just due to the conditions of the lower end of the overflow channel to less icebergs in the basin, and then the lateral expansion of the basin. So we're going to see a very similar volume estimate that we're anticipating, maybe a little bit of an increase, but very similar to last year. And so we are also anticipating a flood if it releases at a full basin capacity, something very similar to last year, to maybe a little bit lower, but still a major flooding event. And we still need to evaluate the effects effects of this cabin event that Ashley's showing on the main front of the basin right now and how that affected our anticipation of the volume that goes into that. And you can see the scenario forecast on the monitoring page to be aware of if a release was to take place right now, what would the flooding event look like?
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