
Speaker B
50:54 - 51:47
"this next scenario was a request from the committee presentation from last week, and it was a request to model a $60 billion capital Capital expenditure scenario. So similar in total capital expenditure cost as the scenario that we just walked through, except that this next scenario keeps all of our other baseline assumptions unchanged. So the 20-year debt agreement, 70/30 debt split, 5% interest rate on debt, and other baseline assumptions, simply adjusting that capital expenditure from the $46.2 billion real up to $60 billion real."
“this next scenario was a request from the committee presentation from last week, and it was a request to model a $60 billion capital Capital expenditure scenario. So similar in total capital expenditure cost as the scenario that we just walked through, except that this next scenario keeps all of our other baseline assumptions unchanged. So the 20-year debt agreement, 70/30 debt split, 5% interest rate on debt, and other baseline assumptions, simply adjusting that capital expenditure from the $46.2 billion real up to $60 billion real.”
All right. So moving on to slide 17. So this next scenario was a request from the committee presentation from last week, and it was a request to model a $60 billion capital Capital expenditure scenario. So similar in total capital expenditure cost as the scenario that we just walked through, except that this next scenario keeps all of our other baseline assumptions unchanged. So the 20-year debt agreement, 70/30 debt split, 5% interest rate on debt, and other baseline assumptions, simply adjusting that capital expenditure from the $46.2 billion real up to $60 billion real.
Department of Revenue modeling shows that if the Alaska LNG project costs $60 billion instead of the baseline $46.2 billion, the price needed to break even in global markets would jump by $1.60 per thousand cubic feet, significantly affecting project viability and the state's fiscal analysis of competing tax proposals.

Alaska Department of Revenue modeling shows the Alaska LNG project could cost the state $16.2 billion through 2062 under worst-case production scenarios combining Prudhoe Bay oil losses with Point Thompson underperformance at $100 per barrel oil prices.
