Alaska Senate race rated a toss-up as campaigns hit Q2 deadline

Alaska is the only toss-up Senate seat in the country, according to the Split Ticket 2026 Senate model, which projects Democrats and Republicans each holding 50 seats. The rating puts Alaska's Nov. 3, 2026, contest at the center of the national majority fight for both parties.

Mary Peltola, the Democratic challenger to incumbent Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan, amplified the rating in social media posts ahead of the Q2 Federal Election Commission fundraising deadline Tuesday. "We have to beat millions of dollars from a slew of DC super PACs to win Alaska's toss-up Senate race, so we need your support," she wrote. Sullivan won re-election in 2020 with 54% of the vote. Sabato's Crystal Ball has also rated the race a toss-up in prior coverage, a trend Peltola's campaign cited as evidence of growing momentum.

In the U.S. House race, candidate Bill Hill made fundraising appeals from his fishing boat in Bristol Bay, where he said he was working a commercial fishing season ahead of the same deadline. "Commercial fishing is how I make a living," Hill wrote in posts on X. He said opponent Nick Begich "doesn't know what it's like to depend on a good season to provide for your family."

The Alaska Department of Law is separately seeking vendors for a new Criminal Case Intake and Disposition portal, covering design, implementation, hosting, and support of the web-based system.

Q2 fundraising totals will be publicly available once campaigns file with the FEC.